video

Blog

9 billion by 2050: How are we going to feed the world’s population?

Following a recent UN meeting, the Director-General of the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) Qu Dongyu called for a ‘transformation’ of agriculture to make it more efficient, inclusive, and resilient to shocks.

However, even before the war and the Covid-19 pandemic, there were challenges in supplying food to a projected nine billion people who will live on the planet in 2050, whilst at the same time meeting environmental targets.

So, what are the solutions? Solutions can include modern technology, training, and education along with more supportive policies.

How technology can help increase food supply

According to Maria Andrade 2016 World Food Prize Laureate, Food security can be achieved by using knowledge of the best practices based on science. The technology chosen needs to be appropriate to local conditions and supply chains.

For example, efficient irrigation technologies, water harvesting, and conservation techniques can address water constraints in sub-Saharan Africa.

Post-harvest losses are a key driver of food waste and carry the cost of all resources used in producing food that is lost. Better storage and processing technologies in root and tuber crops, such as cassava and sweet potato could help to minimize rates of post-harvest spoilage.

Technology can produce more and better food with less environmental impact. However, there is a split between large-scale commercial farms and many smaller farmers who still either lack access to technology or have not adopted it. Dimitra is a company which promotes data-driven farming and according to its founder Jon Trask:

There are 608,000,000 farms in the world and 38,000,000 of those are well-served by the big tech companies. The rest are completely ignored. This underserved group of farmers represents the production of almost 70% of the food in the world. Increasing output and revenue by 20%, if we distribute it right and don’t waste it, theoretically it could solve the world hunger crisis.

Overcoming this split will become a key challenge in tackling global hunger.

Using training and education to improve agricultural output

Better training of farmers can help boost productivity and can also encourage farmers to adopt modern technology. A study in Burkina Faso looked at the effect of factors of modernization on the food security of farm households.

The results showed that the training of agricultural workers, ownership of traction animals, and use of improved seeds reduced the risk of food-secure households falling into food insecurity by 22.8, 21.6, and 14.9%, respectively.

These factors determine household food security, suggesting that the modernization of farming could help prevent food insecurity in the country.

The impact of international policies relating to economic development and trade

Those at greatest risk of food insecurity are subsistence farmers and economic development is critical to countering food insecurity. The biggest risk to food security is often not disruptions to production, but loss of household income, thus economic safety nets and food assistance are essential, especially in developing countries.

Free trade policies allow countries to exploit their comparative advantages in economic activity, increasing average per capita incomes, longer-term growth rates and the capacity to fund social safety nets for the poor.

However, growing concerns about food security, have led some countries to hoard staples to ward off domestic shortages, which in turn limits supplies on the global market.

In addition, other countries such as India have restricted exports, however, this can have a knock-on effect on other import-dependent countries. Thus, there needs to be more co-operation and co-ordination at a global level.

Increased domestic resilience

Developed countries should also reappraise the importance of food production to meet their own needs and to supply export markets. UK farming groups have lobbied the government to provide the vision required to give the industry confidence to continue producing high-quality and affordable food.

The USDA has announced the easing of restrictions on farmers planting crops on environmentally sensitive land to help ease the food crisis.

The long production cycles for most agricultural commodities mean that food production cannot simply be turned on and off like a tap. There must be planning and investment to achieve food security, and the adoption of a range of measures including the adoption of innovative technology, training, and support for farmers.

Need support with making long-term plans and investments for the future of agriculture?

Our experts at Farrelly & Mitchell can help you to make informed decisions by leveraging our expert commercial and technical insights.

Working across the food system in many locations around the world, we have an in-depth understanding of all the constantly evolving facets of the food and agricultural industry as well as insights and information on the latest trends and innovations.

Talk to our team today to learn more, get in touch via email at [email protected]

Read more on our food safety & security

Author

Stephen Awuah

Regional Director (SSA)

Stephen is a Regional Director (SSA) with Farrelly & Mitchell and leads the firm’s Ghana (SS Africa) office, located in Accra.

9 billion by 2050: How are we going to feed the world’s population?

Following a recent UN meeting, the Director-General of the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) Qu Dongyu called for a ‘transformation’ of agriculture to make it more efficient, inclusive, and resilient to shocks.

However, even before the war and the Covid-19 pandemic, there were challenges in supplying food to a projected nine billion people who will live on the planet in 2050, whilst at the same time meeting environmental targets.

So, what are the solutions? Solutions can include modern technology, training, and education along with more supportive policies.

How technology can help increase food supply

According to Maria Andrade 2016 World Food Prize Laureate, Food security can be achieved by using knowledge of the best practices based on science. The technology chosen needs to be appropriate to local conditions and supply chains.

For example, efficient irrigation technologies, water harvesting, and conservation techniques can address water constraints in sub-Saharan Africa.

Post-harvest losses are a key driver of food waste and carry the cost of all resources used in producing food that is lost. Better storage and processing technologies in root and tuber crops, such as cassava and sweet potato could help to minimize rates of post-harvest spoilage.

Technology can produce more and better food with less environmental impact. However, there is a split between large-scale commercial farms and many smaller farmers who still either lack access to technology or have not adopted it. Dimitra is a company which promotes data-driven farming and according to its founder Jon Trask:

There are 608,000,000 farms in the world and 38,000,000 of those are well-served by the big tech companies. The rest are completely ignored. This underserved group of farmers represents the production of almost 70% of the food in the world. Increasing output and revenue by 20%, if we distribute it right and don’t waste it, theoretically it could solve the world hunger crisis.

Overcoming this split will become a key challenge in tackling global hunger.

Using training and education to improve agricultural output

Better training of farmers can help boost productivity and can also encourage farmers to adopt modern technology. A study in Burkina Faso looked at the effect of factors of modernization on the food security of farm households.

The results showed that the training of agricultural workers, ownership of traction animals, and use of improved seeds reduced the risk of food-secure households falling into food insecurity by 22.8, 21.6, and 14.9%, respectively.

These factors determine household food security, suggesting that the modernization of farming could help prevent food insecurity in the country.

The impact of international policies relating to economic development and trade

Those at greatest risk of food insecurity are subsistence farmers and economic development is critical to countering food insecurity. The biggest risk to food security is often not disruptions to production, but loss of household income, thus economic safety nets and food assistance are essential, especially in developing countries.

Free trade policies allow countries to exploit their comparative advantages in economic activity, increasing average per capita incomes, longer-term growth rates and the capacity to fund social safety nets for the poor.

However, growing concerns about food security, have led some countries to hoard staples to ward off domestic shortages, which in turn limits supplies on the global market.

In addition, other countries such as India have restricted exports, however, this can have a knock-on effect on other import-dependent countries. Thus, there needs to be more co-operation and co-ordination at a global level.

Increased domestic resilience

Developed countries should also reappraise the importance of food production to meet their own needs and to supply export markets. UK farming groups have lobbied the government to provide the vision required to give the industry confidence to continue producing high-quality and affordable food.

The USDA has announced the easing of restrictions on farmers planting crops on environmentally sensitive land to help ease the food crisis.

The long production cycles for most agricultural commodities mean that food production cannot simply be turned on and off like a tap. There must be planning and investment to achieve food security, and the adoption of a range of measures including the adoption of innovative technology, training, and support for farmers.

Need support with making long-term plans and investments for the future of agriculture?

Our experts at Farrelly & Mitchell can help you to make informed decisions by leveraging our expert commercial and technical insights.

Working across the food system in many locations around the world, we have an in-depth understanding of all the constantly evolving facets of the food and agricultural industry as well as insights and information on the latest trends and innovations.

Talk to our team today to learn more, get in touch via email at [email protected]

Read more on our food safety & security

Author

Stephen Awuah

Regional Director (SSA)

Stephen is a Regional Director (SSA) with Farrelly & Mitchell and leads the firm’s Ghana (SS Africa) office, located in Accra.

Stephen Awuah's featured publications

See all posts

See all posts

Empowering global food and agribusinesses to make the right decisions.

Contact us